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reuters.com/markets/us/fed-signals-december-cut-as-inflation-cools5

Markets

Fed signals December cut as inflation cools

By Dana Whitfield · October 26, 2026

WASHINGTON — Federal Reserve officials pointed on Thursday to a quarter-point cut at their December meeting after a second straight month of softer prices. Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

Core prices rose 0.2% in September, below forecasts, and Treasury yields slipped to 4.08%, the lowest since August.

Officials described the labor market as cooling but still solid, with payrolls up 142,000 last month. Oil eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up.

Fed rate cut in December?

63¢Yes
YesMedium Yes 63¢No 37¢

10-year Treasury yield below 4% on December 31?

41¢Yes
YesLow Yes 41¢No 59¢

US recession in 2026?

11¢Yes
NoMedium Yes 11¢No 89¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

22¢Yes
YesLow Yes 22¢No 78¢

How it works

  1. Open an article and click the icon.

    reuters.com/markets/us/fed-signals-december-cut5
    Polywire
    RFed signals December cut as inflation cools
    • R

      Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

      Fed rate cut in December?
      63¢Yes
      YesMedium
    • R

      Officials pencilled in two more cuts next year in their latest projections.

      Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
      4¢Yes
      NoHigh

  2. Read the sentence each market matched.

    • R

      Treasury yields slipped to 4.08%, the lowest since August.

      10-year Treasury yield below 4% on December 31?
      41¢Yes
      YesLow
    • R

      Oil eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up.

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
      22¢Yes
      YesLow

  3. Open the market and order from the panel.

    Polywire
    R

    Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

    Fed rate cut in December?

    BuySellMarketLimit
    Yes 63.2¢No 37.1¢
    Amount$25
    +$1+$5+$10+$100
    Place order
    39.56 shares · avg 63.2¢Payout $39.56

    Orders placed through Polywire are attributed to Polywire.

Up to five matches, each tied to a sentence.

  • YesNoWhich way the sentence leans.
  • HighHow sure the match is.
  • RWhere it came from in your article.
Polywire
RFed signals December cut as inflation cools
  • R

    Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

    Fed rate cut in December?
    63¢Yes
    YesMedium
  • R

    Officials pencilled in two more cuts next year in their latest projections.

    Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
    4¢Yes
    NoHigh
  • R

    Treasury yields slipped to 4.08%, the lowest since August.

    10-year Treasury yield below 4% on December 31?
    41¢Yes
    YesLow
  • R

    Oil eased as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up.

    Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
    22¢Yes
    YesLow
  • R

    Officials described the labor market as cooling but still solid.

    US recession in 2026?
    11¢Yes
    NoMedium
Auto-scan

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Fed rate cut in December?

63% chance

  • Yes63¢
  • No37¢
Polywire
R

Powell said the committee is ready to move if inflation keeps cooling.

Fed rate cut in December?

BuySellMarketLimit
Yes 63.2¢No 37.1¢
Amount$25
+$1+$5+$10+$100
Place order
39.56 shares · avg 63.2¢Payout $39.56

Orders placed through Polywire are attributed to Polywire.

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